Republican Talks to This Blog (Exclusive)
A well-connected US Republican cautions me about my assumption that Sarah Palin will be sucked into the race for the presidential nomination. He says that between her book, speaking fees and Fox contract she’s pulling in $18 million. Moreover she’s just signed another two year contract. Like Mike Huckabee she is keen to keep her profile up because it means more paying engagements but, my source says, both know the minute they step onto the field as candidates they are damaged goods. ( He concedes this could change when she sees her name figure flatteringly in Iowa polls and candidates’ disease sets in ).
Gingrich could galvanize the same base but carries baggage. That leaves Mitt Romney, so flawed he couldn’t win against Obama. Behind him is a crop of the next generation but people like Barbour, Rubio and Daniels haven’t had the time to load up with money.
Says my source : “The system’s so front-loaded these days they’ve got to have the money at the very start.” That means off and running now at least in fund-raising.
My source believes the Republicans will be cautious in Congress, not wishing to repeat the errors of 1993. But the party is acting more and more on the assumption that Obama is in a strong position to be re-elected and they are short of a viable candidate to field against him.